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2026-06-1714 min readBy Meera (Senior Energy Markets Correspondent)
EnergyOil MarketsCrude Oil PricesGlobal

Oil Prices Hold Near Three-Month Lows as U.S.-Iran Deal Raises Supply Outlook, IEA Warns of Glut

Oil barrels and crude oil price chart reflecting global energy market movements

Oil prices remained near three-month lows as markets evaluated the impact of a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement and future supply growth.

Executive Summary

Global oil prices stabilized near three-month lows as traders assessed the implications of a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement that could return additional Iranian crude to international markets. While near-term demand and declining U.S. inventories continue to provide support, the International Energy Agency has warned that the world could face a substantial oil supply surplus over the coming years. The outlook has prompted analysts, including Goldman Sachs, to revise oil price forecasts lower amid expectations of increasing supply and moderating geopolitical risks.

Key Takeaways

  • Brent crude traded at $79.26 per barrel while WTI reached $76.29.
  • Oil prices remain near their lowest levels in three months.
  • The U.S.-Iran peace agreement could increase global oil supplies.
  • The IEA expects a major oil supply surplus in coming years.
  • Global supply could rise by 8 million barrels per day versus demand growth of 2 million barrels.
  • U.S. crude inventories fell 8.3 million barrels, supporting prices.
  • Goldman Sachs lowered its Brent forecast to $80 per barrel.
  • Near-term demand remains strong despite long-term oversupply concerns.
  • India could benefit from lower energy costs and reduced inflation.
  • Geopolitical developments remain a critical driver of oil markets.
#Crude Oil#Brent Crude#WTI#Energy Markets#Iran#United States#Oil Prices#International Energy Agency#Goldman Sachs#Commodity Markets#Inflation#Global Economy#India Energy#Oil Demand#Supply Glut