Will the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) decision to double its liquidity injection plan to Rs 1.5 lakh crore through variable repo rate auction calm the nerves of investors? Can this move prevent a liquidity crunch due to advance tax payments? These are the questions on every investor's mind.
In a bid to ensure comfortable liquidity in the system, the RBI has taken a proactive step to pre-empt any possible liquidity shortage. The earlier notified amount was Rs 75000 crore. In parallel, the central bank will conduct a dollar-rupee buy-sell swap to infuse durable rupee-liquidity.
The increase in VRR will limit the transient liquidity tightness which will be created post advance tax payments and GST payment. This move will ensure overnight rates stay near the repo rate. More importantly, system liquidity will rise towards the end of the month when government expenditure picks up. Historically, the Indian market has seen a surge in liquidity during the last week of the month, which has often led to a rally in the Nifty and Bank Nifty.
From a trader's psychology perspective, this move by the RBI will likely boost market sentiment, at least in the short term. The Nifty has been consolidating around the 18,000 mark, and this news could be the catalyst for a breakout. The Bank Nifty, which has been underperforming, could also see a rally due to the increased liquidity.
Will Nifty fall after this news? Unlikely, as the RBI's move is likely to boost market sentiment. Is this good or bad for bank stocks? Good, as the increased liquidity will benefit bank stocks. What should retail investors watch next? The advance tax payment and GST payment deadlines, as well as the government's expenditure towards the end of the month.
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and investors should do their own research before making any investment decisions.
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