As the Indian stock market tries to regain its footing after two consecutive sessions of losses, the big question on everyone's mind is: can the Nifty 50 bounce back from its current levels? The index's inability to sustain above the 26,000 mark has raised concerns about its short-term trajectory.
The latest market trends suggest a muted start for the Indian benchmark index, with the Gift Nifty trading near the 25,937 level, up 21.5 points or 0.08% from the previous close. The broader market also remained under pressure, with the BSE Midcap index losing 0.78% and the Smallcap index falling 0.69%.
Nifty 50 Analysis: Understanding the Downside Risks
The Nifty 50 extended its corrective phase on Tuesday, with sentiment weakening across global and domestic markets. Technical indicators signaled further downside risks, with multiple experts flagging key support and resistance levels traders should watch. The index slipping below the 9-EMA near 26,000 and falling under the middle Bollinger Band indicates a shift toward short-term weakness.
Historically, the Nifty 50 has shown a tendency to consolidate after a strong rally, and the current price action is no exception. The index is now hovering near its 200-SMA on the hourly chart, which could provide some support. However, the bears have maintained firm control, and the index remains below the 200-SMA on the daily chart.
From a trader's perspective, the next support zone is at 25,720, and a decisive close below this level could expose 25,650–25,600 where the Supertrend is placed. On the upside, resistance now lies at 26,000–26,050, and only a sustained close above this band would help restore bullish momentum.
What Should Traders / Investors Do Now?
- Intraday traders: Focus on stock-specific trading, and avoid taking excessive leverage. Keep a close eye on the 25,700 level, and look for buying opportunities if the index shows signs of bouncing back from this level.
- Short-term traders: Adopt a hedged trading approach, and consider taking profits on every bounce. The 25,950–26,000 zone is likely to act as immediate resistance, and a sustained close above this level could trigger a bounce towards 26,200–26,400.
- Long-term investors: Continue to focus on fundamentally strong stocks, and avoid making any drastic changes to your portfolio. The current market volatility is an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks at lower levels.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Will the Nifty 50 fall after this news? The index is currently under pressure, and a close below 25,700 could lead to further downside.
- Is this good or bad for bank stocks? The Bank Nifty is also under pressure, and a close below 58,800 could extend the decline towards 58,500–58,000.
- What should retail investors watch next? Keep a close eye on the 25,700 level, and look for buying opportunities if the index shows signs of bouncing back from this level. Also, watch the movement of the Bank Nifty, as it could have a significant impact on the overall market sentiment.
Follow the conversation on #Nifty50 and #IndianStockMarket for more updates and insights.
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of the author. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.