With the recent update from Motilal Oswal's research report on Bajaj Auto, the big question on everyone's mind is: can the company reclaim its lost market share in the domestic motorcycle market and boost its stock price? The report reveals an interesting outlook for the company's key business segments.
In a nutshell, Bajaj Auto is betting big on new launches, including three Pulsar variants and a few premium models, to revive its market share in India. Meanwhile, demand in export markets, particularly Latin America and Asia, is expected to sustain, driven by healthy growth.
Motilal Oswal's report highlights Bajaj Auto's aggressive plans in the electric vehicle (EV) space, aiming for a leadership position with the launch of new models like the Chetak and e-rik, Riki. The company is on the verge of achieving EBITDA break-even in 2W EVs, a significant milestone. Currency depreciation is also expected to provide a margin cushion in the coming quarters.
From a valuation perspective, the report models a revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 12%/12%/11% for Bajaj Auto, with a Neutral rating and a target price of INR 9,070. But what does this mean for the Nifty Auto Index and the broader market?
In the past, we've seen that the Nifty Auto Index has been highly correlated with the performance of individual auto stocks like Bajaj Auto. A revival in the company's market share and revenue growth could potentially boost the index. However, trader psychology also plays a crucial role, as investors often look for momentum and growth stories.
Historically, the Bank Nifty and Nifty have been influenced by the performance of auto stocks, particularly during times of economic recovery. As the Indian market continues to grow, the auto sector is expected to play a significant role in driving growth.
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Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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